News in Spain

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A snapshot of health care in Europe (1/03/2008)

In Spain, where manger scenes are still the Christmas holidays' major decoration, few feel the need to "put the Christ back in Christmas." (12/23/2007)

Ibérico hams have been approved for sale in the USA for the first time (12/14/2007)

More than 2,000 web developers have gathered for the LeWeb conference (12/12/2007)

Spain's Sinking Property Market May Roil Europe (12/12/2007)

Scientists discover the largest dinosaur site known in Europe (12/10/2007)

Zapatero has vowed to make the environment a priority in the next legislature if the Socialists win what is expected to be a tight election early next year. (12/10/2007)

The world is more than 50% likely to experience dangerous levels of climate change (12/10/2007)

The French and Spanish leaders have confirmed new joint action to combat terrorism (12/09/2007)

Repsol Discovers Natural Gas in Bolivia to Supply 1% of Spain (12/07/2007)

No need for a common EU visa to attract highly skilled workers from outside the EU? (12/07/2007)

Illegal immigration in Spain (12/07/2007)

Spain is reclaiming its costas (12/06/2007)

House-price inflation has dipped in France, Spain, Italy and Belgium (12/06/2007)

Prodi and Zapatero discuss migration (12/05/2007)

Limitations on Endesa's debt service ratio and on Endesa's dividends distribution policy (12/05/2007)

Miguel Angel Moratinos said Spain would prefer that Mr. Mugabe not take part in the European Union-Africa summit (12/04/2007)

Arroyo signed cooperation deals with Spain covering agriculture and fisheries, education, sports and culture (12/03/2007)

A Spanish civil guard has been killed and another badly wounded after being shot by members of the terrorist group Eta (12/01/2007)

The European telecom sector, attractive in these times of turbulent equity (11/29/2007)

Many beauty spots and costa views will be blighted under a plan whereby Spain will displace natural gas with wind turbines as the main source of energy (11/26/2007)

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said Monday that reconciliation is impossible with Colombia's president (11/26/2007)

The total cost of the european satellite project is estimated at 3.4 billion euros and is expected to create over 100,000 new jobs in Europe (11/26/2007)

Chinese Vice Premier Hui Liangyu said Monday that China stands ready to boost trade, investment and other ties with Spain (11/26/2007)

Spain targets 8 million broadband (11/26/2007)

Las Vegas in Spain (11/25/2007)

Spain, the greatest European greenhouse gas emitter (11/25/2007)

"The reason Europe lags behind the U.S. in terms of development in general and branded development in particular is the lack of effective regulations and enforcement of those regulations, and we think that's beginning to change" (11/25/2007)

Spanish Civil War: Shadows of War (11/23/2007)

"I don't know if I'm too subjective but I think we have a real chance of getting the Olympics" (11/23/2007)

"This is confirming our policy of boosting relations with West Africa" (11/22/2007)

Spanish actor Fernando Fernan-Gomez dies at 86 (11/22/2007)

Europe's stimulant drug of choice (11/22/2007)

Telefonica wants mexican regulators to force Telmex and Telcel to connect rivals to their networks on non-discriminatory terms (11/22/2007)

Spain to trim its 2008 growth estimate (11/22/2007)

A deflating housing bubble has global finance players moving in to scoop up dud loans on the cheap (11/21/2007)

President Hugo Chavez said Tuesday he hopes a spat with Spanish King Juan Carlos doesn't spiral into a diplomatic crisis but that Venezuela doesn't need Spanish investment (11/13/2007)

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez demanded on Tuesday Spain's king apologize for telling him to shut up, warning that Spanish investments could suffer in its former colony because of the spat (11/13/2007)

"The changes the Commission is presenting today in the telecoms rules is bound to revolutionize the European telecoms sector" (11/13/2007)

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez joked with a reporter on Tuesday to "shut up" asking questions (11/13/2007)

Alcoholism in Europe (11/13/2007)

Two Spanish cartoonists have been found guilty of offending the royal family and fined 3,000 euros each (11/13/2007)

"I think it's imprudent for a king to shout at a president to shut up. Mr King, we are not going to shut up" (11/13/2007)

Spain's King Tells Venezuela's Chavez to "Shut Up" (11/10/2007)

Spain moved to soothe diplomatic tensions with Morocco on Monday as the Spanish king and queen began a visit to two territories on the coast of North Africa that both countries claim (11/06/2007)

As a nucleus of the electronic music scene, Ibiza attracts party people of every age and demographic (11/04/2007)

The Spanish National Court on Wednesday convicted three men of murdering 191 people and wounding more than 1,800 in the 2004 Madrid bombings (11/01/2007)

Giant hyenas, sabretoothed cats, giraffes and zebras lived side by side in Europe 1.8 million years ago (10/31/2007)

"Amnesty is one thing, but amnesia is another" (10/28/2007)

Thirty men are currently on trial in Madrid on charges related to a suspected plot to blow up the Spanish high court and political landmarks (10/25/2007)

Starting a newspaper in a mature economy these days: An act of folly? (10/22/2007)

Irish role in the fight against Franco on the side of Spain's ousted republican government was marked in Belfast (10/15/2007)

Controversy in Spain Over Royal Family (10/13/2007)


The Age of Discovery has discovered DNA (10/08/2007)

The consortium's mostly cash offer for ABN Amro of the Netherlands, is 72 billion euros (10/06/2007)

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The European telecom sector, attractive in these times of turbulent equity
 
 
November 30, 2007
 

The European telecom sector is attractive in these times of turbulent equity markets as it is producing better earnings growth than the rest of the market, yet it is trading at a valuation more or less in line with the market, says Vittorio Fegitz, chief investment officer at RBC Asset Management U.K. Ltd.

"It has taken European telecom services companies seven years to repair their balance sheets following their investment/expansion excesses which came to a head in 2000," says Fegitz.

The good news, he says, is that their extensive capital expenditure on third-generation wireless technology is finally starting to pay off, with revenue from data transmission via wireless rising sharply.

Fegitz, based in London, England, co-manages the RBC European Equity Fund and the RBC International Equity Fund. He uses a multi-disciplinary approach to select stocks that includes fundamental, technical and quantitative analysis. The RBC European Equity Fund will be the focus of this column.

This fund is overweight telecom services stocks. These stocks are defensive, he says, "a plus at this stage of the economic cycle." Fegitz also likes some similarly defensive brand-name consumer stocks.

This European fund is modestly overweight the energy sector. Energy companies have strong balance sheets and are benefiting from the high oil price, says Fegitz. "These companies should have stable to rising earnings."

By contrast, the portfolio is underweight the European financial services sector -- "particularly the banks." The sector is suffering from "the credit crunch and asset-backed securities problems."

Of the big economic picture in Europe, Fegitz says while the GDP growth estimate for 2008 is being reduced, it is still expected to be in the 2% range, "which is a relatively good pace for Europe."

Turning to the European equity market, Fegitz notes that earnings growth estimates for companies in the MSCI Europe Index are being reduced.

In the late summer, the estimates called for 12% EPS growth for 2007, 13% for 2008 and 11% for 2009, whereas consensus is currently for EPS growth of 10% for 2007, 11% for 2008 and 11% for 2009.

"While these estimates could be reduced further, they will likely still be in the high single-digit range."

Furthermore, he says, the current valuation on the European equity market is "not excessive." The MSCI Europe Index is trading at 14 times 2008 EPS estimates and 12.4 times 2009 estimates.

"Once the credit concerns subside, there could well be a P/E multiple expansion which would help to offset the expected decline in the EPS growth rate."

From the European telecom sector, Fegitz is highlighting Telefonica SA. Based in Spain, Telefonica provides telecom services to Europe and in Latin America, where it has a large presence. The company is expected to produce EPS growth of 23% in 2008 and 14% in 2009. The stock currently trades around 14.3 times 2008 estimates and 12.5 times 2009 estimates.

Fegitz continues to champion Vodafone Group PLC, the British mobile telecom services provider, which was one of his selections in the Jan. 24 column, when it traded at US$29.52.

"It is one of the largest mobile phone companies in the world," he notes. "It is enjoying high rates of revenue growth from wireless data transmission."

Vodafone represents 4.7% of the RBC European Equity Fund and is Fegitz's second-largest holding.

In the financial services sector, Fegitz sold his holding in the major Dutch bank, ABN Amro Holding NV, pursuant to the successful takeover by a group led by Edinburgh-based Bank of Scotland.

ABN Amro was a significant holding in the portfolio and Fegitz used some of the cash proceeds to buy consumer staples stocks such as Nestle SA. Based in Switzerland, this company is a major global player in the food business.

"It is a solid company and represents a strong, defensive play during this market volatility."

It has a good track record, high return on equity, and a commanding presence in the markets its serves, he says. The stock trades at a P/E multiple of 18 times 2008 EPS estimates, "which is a premium over the market multiple."

- Imperial Tobacco Group PLC. This major British tobacco company is taking over Spanish/French rival Altadis SA, whose products include Gauloises cigarettes.

"There is considerable scope for cost-cutting as a result of this merger," Fegitz says. "This move is part of the ongoing consolidation in the global tobacco industry, which may boost the pricing power of the remaining players."

Imperial Tobacco's stock trades at 15 times 2008 EPS estimates, "which is a slight premium to the market."

Turning to the energy sector, Fegitz is highlighting StatoilHydro AS, which is the result of a recent merger of two Norwegian energy companies --Statoil and Norsk Hydro.

"The merger results in a stronger balance sheet, the potential for cost savings and increased bargaining power for the company in dealing with its international interests."

The merged company has one of the stronger production profiles of its European peers over the medium-term, says Fegitz.

StatoilHydro's EPS is expected to grow by a modest 2% in 2008, he says, "but these estimates do not take into account the higher energy prices."

The stock trades at 10 times 2008 EPS estimates.